The paper consider the methodological problems of forecasting of tax budget revenues in Russia. The particular attention is paid to the usage of time series analysis and to the discussion of issues related to benchmarking, «edge effects», structural and cycle components of tax revenue. It is concluded that the objective limitation for the correct and reliable long-term forecasting is the lack of sufficiently long time series of comparable data. Forecasting time horizon should correspond to the period for which trends are identified and parameters of the dynamics are estimated. Short-term forecasts have the necessary information, and they can be used in the practical work of public authorities.

Russia, as some other countries, is the county with low fertility. In 2007 russian government implemented a policy that is known as maternity capital aimed the increase of fertility in the country. The policy was planned to be finish at the end of 2016. In case if the policy would be continued it is useful to estimate it’s efficiency for different households. In this article was estimated the importance of maternity capital certificates for different types of households. The main purpose of the article was to find out characteristic of the households which has low value of maternity capital. The estimations results may be used to modify ways of use maternity capital certificates to improve it’s efficiency in case of continuation this policy. 

Effective credit policy is an essential condition for bank’s successful operation. In this article methods of developing a credit policy that accounts for information asymmetry and “reverse selection” effect in the credit market are considered. In the course of research, relationships between interest rates, “pass” credit score, total bank’s income, average profitability of a credit product and the amount of capital required to be allocated to a new product, were revealed. Noting these relationships, bank’s credit department is able to set optimal interest rates, credit score and capital, as well as to apply credit rationing, if necessary.

In the article the author analyzed the possibilities of effectiveness evaluation of an innovative project at the pre-investment stage, systematized approach to such analysis. In addition, general procedure algorithm for an assessment of scientific project’s potential efficiency is suggested. The specifics of the paper is to try to overcome the factors of uncertainty and information incompleteness, typical for the innovative projects, ranging the key indicators depending on time and a place of their occurrencein different activity fields of the company, analyzing of potential and prospects innovation using, and also other factors influence process of carrying out the pre-investment analysis. Experience of effectiveness evaluation of scientific projects, which is proposed for implementation in OAO «Gazprom», in collaboration with the IPGG SB RAS, is presented.

This article provides a feasibility study of the State program of agricultural development and regulation of agricultural products, raw materials and food for 2013-2020 in terms of production and import of meat products. To analyze the feasibility of the said State program has been used three tools: trend analysis of the key indicators, statistical regression analysis and production function. Proposed methodological approach and tools for expert evaluation of realizability of the State Program allowed us to determine its possible unrealizability as scheduled until 2020

The main principle of developing   specialized model complexes is based on the approach when the detailed description of the object (the core, the main body) is added by the description of the context. In addition to the above, the core of the system can be made up in turns by objects picked up from the context.  Developing  the models on separate subsystems of the economy, presented in details in the basic model, leads to creation of problems (equations)  with many variables and parameters where for the specific goals of analysis (and forecasting) it is not at all obligatory to use the full-scale model. Such redundancy is unnecessary while using this model for scenario calculations in the context of “branch ” problems.  The authors provide experimental calculations which allow evaluating the   influence of aggregation on resulting information.  Average year growth rates of production by branches of timber complex are considered as resulting information.  Closeness of decisions on these indicators proves the hypothesis about possibility and rationality of such aggregation of the economic context for the timber complex.

Discusses the problems of socio-economic development of the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous district.Identified priority directions of development of the district and investment needs. It is shown that the economic and financial crisis may significantly affect the implementation of large-scale strategic projects. Defined organizational and economic form of interaction of public authorities, environmental NGOs and oil and gas companies in search of a compromise – minimize impact on the natural environment and the elimination of irrational use of all its components. Discusses the risks of the strategy. Estimated export risks of the project to develop the gas resources of the Yamal Peninsula in the context of refocusing energy to other European gas markets. It is shown that the failure of the implementation of the Programme Yamal will lead to such a significant loss of budget revenues of the district that fundamentally will require review of the entire regional strategy for socio-economic development of the region.

The food security issue has always been important for every country. Population food provision satisfies primary needs of citizens. In this article, the authors proposed analysis of agricultural production indicators in Novosibirsk region and possible scenarios of development.

Issue research showed that Russia still depends on food imports despite the world's largest agricultural potential. The macroeconomic situation with economic sanctions and political instability leads to activate the internal capabilities of the country. Results of research shows that today Russia has good chances for the development of domestic agricultural production. However, will state contribute to the agricultural development or will it just replace old importers by new ones – it is still an open question.

In marketing practice  usually are used various indicators for the description of "brand health". Between which and  brand market share  possibly exist  the statistically significantconnection. If such connection is found, it is possible data recovery about a market share when it is absent or is incomplete. In the article application for this regression analysis on the basis of actual data on several local markets is described. The results show that such connection exists for all studied indicators. But force of it significantly differs that leads to a conclusion about priority of use for  data recovery part of indicators, and refusal of application of others.Also it is necessary to pay attention to existence of specifics of commodity group and the market which significantly influence by sight and regression equation accuracy.

The purpose of the present article is to discuss the role the socialist ideas played in the development of economic thoughts. The paper considers a brief history of socialist thought, fundamental ideas of the scientists and publicists who made the greatest contribution to development of socialist concepts; common principles at a huge variety of such concepts; and criticism of socialist ideas made by representatives of alternative schools. A special focus of the paper is the discussion held in the period between the world wars on whether socialism could take place. In the critics’ opinion, socialization of the economy resulted in corrupted economic information which made economic calculations impossible in socialism and abolition of private ownership – in both eliminated freedom of choice and lower economic growth. In response, economists-socialists insisted on positive impacts through lower transactional costs and they proposed different types of market socialism. The author also makes an attempt to formulate what the socialist theories contributed to modern economics from the viewpoint of its research subject and definitions.