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Vol 25, No 2 (2025)
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MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS: METHODS AND RESULTS

5-19 11
Abstract

As part of the carbon regulation of the Russian Federation, it is important not only to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in such sectors of the economy as energy, industrial production, agriculture, etc., but also to actively develop climate projects with carbon-absorbing capacity and using the sequestration potential of territories and local ecosystems. The territory of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation occupies more than 67 % of the entire territory of the Russian Federation. Methodological approaches to the assessment of climate projects and their requirements from the outside, including the international community, are investigated. Two options for the implementation of a botanical and climatic project on the slopes of the roadway in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation are considered. The article makes calculations of investment and current costs for the implementation of a botanical and climatic project within the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation. The cost of a carbon unit in various forest-climatic projects is analyzed. Data on the carbon-absorbing capacity of perennial grass crops and the assessment of the volume of investments made it possible to estimate the cost of a carbon unit under various scenarios for the imple­mentation of a botanical and climatic project.

MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF ANALYSIS IN ECONOMICS

20-46 9
Abstract

We provide criteria and sufficient and necessary conditions for stability of a linear structurally heterogeneous economy under heterogeneous learning of agents, thus extending the results of Honkapohja and Mitra (2006), Kolyuzhnov (2011), Bogomolova and Kolyuzhnov (2019, 2020). Using the alternative definition of the Db-stability approach, alternative to criteria and sufficient conditions written in terms of the corresponding Jacobian matrices in Bogomolova and Kolyuzhnov (2019), we provide criteria for strong δ-stability under mixed RLS/SG learning and sufficient conditions for weak δ-stability under heterogeneous RLS learning for four classes of models: models without lags and with lags of the endogenous variable and with t- or t-1-dating of expectations. For the case of the diagonal structure of the shocks process, this approach also allows us to provide criteria for strong δ-stability for univariate models without lags of the endogenous variable under mixed RLS/SG learning in economically meaningful terms, such as „same sign“ conditions and the E-stability of suitably defined associated economies, their subeconomies and average economies, and to provide quite weak sufficient conditions for weak δ-stability under heterogeneous RLS learning for univariate models with a lag of the endogenous variable using the same economic terms. We also provide sufficient conditions for strong δ-stability for bivariate models without lags of the endogenous variable under mixed RLS/SG learning for the case of the diagonal structure of the shocks process using the same economic terms. Using the characteristic equation approach, we provide economically tractable necessary conditions that can be used as an easy quick test for non-δ-stability. The fundamental nature of the approach adopted in the paper allows one to apply its results to a vast majority of the existing and prospective linear and linearized economic models (including estimated DSGE models used by central banks in most countries of the world) with the adaptive learning of agents.

INSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS

47-63 11
Abstract

In recent years, one of the main ways of implementing a strategic approach in the environmental sphere in Russia has been the national project “Ecology” (2018–2024). The article provides an analysis of the main idea, directions and results of its implementation. It is shown that, on the one hand, the initial plans of the project were too optimistic, not taking into account the available opportunities and limited time frames for the implementation of the declared activities. On the other hand, a number of serious miscalculations were made in the process of implementing the project, which led to the failure of a number of its important goals. An analysis of the results of the implementation of the national project “Ecology” made it possible to identify the main reasons for its failures, among which, in particular, the following were noted: the necessary basic conditions were not formed to implement the originally planned plans, taking into account long-term development; the goals and objectives provided for in the projects were not thoroughly worked out from the standpoint of the possibility of their achievement; the systemic nature of the interconnectedness of economic, environmental and technological development goals was underestimated; the Russian Government’s expectation of environmentally oriented and environmentally aware activities of domestic business did not come true; proper control and personal responsibility for the implementation of project targets were not established, etc. A number of systemic shortcomings of these projects are shown using the example of two federal projects, “Volga Recovery” and “Preservation of Lake Baikal”. Considerations have been made regarding the reasons for the deplorable situation with wastewater treatment plants. Necessary measures are noted, the implementation of which will allow avoiding the mistakes made in the future and will create the necessary prerequisites for the successful achievement of the planned results of the continuation of the project until 2030.

REGIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS

64-92 6
Abstract

The stage of implementing the socio-economic development strategy for the region is a crucial component in the strategic management system. A significant amount of intellectual, time, and material resources are invested in developing and approving regional strategies. However, the actual implementation of these strategies often does not proceed as planned, leading to outdated strategies at the time of approval. This is confirmed by subsequent monitoring.

Despite this, the implementation phase is the key step in the process of turning ideas into reality. It is during this phase that the intended goals, priorities, and projects are put into action. The success or failure of a strategy depends greatly on its effective implementation. The issue of using a stakeholder approach in the development of strategies for socio-economic development in a region is not new, but the challenge of this study lies in the systematic implementation of a comprehensive strategy. This strategy should include optimization of transaction costs, an ecosystem approach, and stakeholder involvement. The aim of the study is to create a transactional configurator that will help implement a regional strategy. The configurator will include two interaction circuits: an internal circuit that involves stakeholders within government agencies, and an external circuit that connects with other stakeholders. The author argues for the importance of this internal circuit, which forms a complex network of interactions among stakeholders within the government. The features of the first circuit, the factors influencing its formation, as well as the functions of both circuits of the transactional configurator, are highlighted. The expediency of using project management methods to implement the strategy of the Sverdlovsk region is justified using the example of its Investment Strategy until 2035. The practical applicability of the two-circuit model of the transaction configurator is demonstrated.

93-105 7
Abstract

In the context of fierce global competition and sanctions pressure on the economy of the Russian Federation, research in the field of exploring, developing and implementing tools for socio-economic development of the regional economy based on innovations in order to ensure the economic security of the state is timely and relevant.

The purpose of this study is to identify effective tools that allow for timely management impact on the level of innovation of the economy by identifying bottlenecks in the formation and use of the innovation potential of a separate region and the state.

The scientific significance of this study lies in the consideration of the basic concepts, goals, factors and directions of development of innovation potential within the framework of the economic security system. The practical significance of the study lies in identifying the basic principles for solving a set of specific organizational and economic issues of innovation policy. To develop state policy for the development of innovativeness of the economy, a list of measures was proposed, the implementation of which should be based on an assessment of the state of economic security based on the innovativeness of the economy. To identify indicators of such an assessment, an analysis of various sources was carried out, which made it possible to identify a number of areas, namely: the quantity of innovative products in the total volume of shipped products, including for export; the quantity of innovatively active business entities in the total volume of organizations; the ratio of costs of innovative activity of business entities and the total volume of shipped innovative products; the share of costs in the sphere of knowledge economy and high-tech sector in the gross domestic product. Also, the analysis of sources allowed us to state the absence of assessment indicators that allow us to realistically assess the state of economic security and the impact of economic innovation on it.

106-121 9
Abstract

The Republic of Karelia is of particular interest for research work on the assessment of economic development of territories, including demographic potential. The presence of territories of the Arctic status within the administrative districts forms the presence of differences in the spatial development of the districts. The purpose of the study is to assess the development indicators of the Arctic regions of the Republic of Karelia and to conduct a comparative analysis of the studied indicators with the territories of the republic that do not have the status of “Arctic region”. The assessment of existing differences in the context of demographic and economic indicators in the Arctic and non-Arctic regions of the Republic allows us to evaluate the changes occurring in the territories after the formation of the Arctic agenda. The methodological apparatus of the study, based on statistical data for the Republic of Karelia and the use of methods of mathematical evaluation of data and system analysis, includes the assessment of demographic indicators of the territories and the analysis of trends in their change. The study makes calculations in the percentage ratio in the context of Arctic/non-Arctic regions, allowing for a comparative analysis. The use of the research approach, which allows to determine the growth rates of the studied indicators, forms the possibility of assessing the impact of the status of “Arctic territory” on the indicators of economic development. The obtained results determined the change in the demographic characteristics of the territories and their tendency to depopulation processes. The obtained results can be used in the development of strategic directions of territorial development, program packages of documents on territorial development. This direction of research allows us to significantly increase the contribution to the study of territorial and regional development management issues.

MANAGEMENT

122-157 6
Abstract

The study focuses on identifying and determining the causes of mass transformations of foreign and domestic brands with name changes, which have been taking place in Russia since 2022. The relevance of the research stems from the understudied nature of this complex process in contemporary publications. The various brand transformations taking place in local subsidiaries of foreign companies are unprecedented and difficult to recognize, leading to a confusion of different terms used to describe them in existing studies and media. In addition, domestic brands are also confronted with new challenges and opportunities for renaming, complicating the current landscape of Russian branding. Therefore, a detailed study and identification of the drivers behind the phenomenon of mass renaming accompanied by other brand changes, is required, as well as the identification of different sub-processes within this process and an analysis of consumer attitudes towards the renaming efforts undertaken. The results obtained are important, first of all, for managers of companies operating in Russia, when predetermining their activities in the context of possible emergence of new catalysts for forced brand changes, as well as for evaluating the effectiveness of brand transformations conducted.

METHODOLOGY AND METHODS OF SOCIOLOGICAL RESEARCH

158-175 6
Abstract

The study examines the distinctive characteristics of informal commercial messages in urban spaces and proposes a classification of advertisings based on a database created using the photo archives from the “School in the Space of a Megalopolis” project in Novosibirsk. Special attention is given to advertisings related to socially harmful activities, such as those promoting prohibited substances and organizations involved in illegal employment practices. The main locations of the messages have been identified, their concentration is observed on objects marked as “nobody’s”: transformer boxes, garages, buildings of unknown purpose, but in general the range of objects on which the messages were found is very wide. Potentially dangerous advertising is ubiquitous. The verbal and visual triggers used in advertising messages are highlighted: in the case of advertising of organizations offering “help to people”, the triggers are varied and their number in the message became one of the grounds for differentiation; in the case of advertising related to prohibited substances, the triggers turned out to be more laconic and veiled. Informal commercial messages, which can be categorized into various types, can serve as a means of spatially distinguishing urban areas. The findings of this study could be useful in identifying and addressing socially harmful advertisements and relevant organizations.

176-195 9
Abstract

The article presents the results of a study of communities of residents of dilapidated houses who do not have access to many modern housing benefits, and the practices of their interaction. The presence of the dilapidated status of the house is associated with the problem of housing inequality, since it has a significant impact on the quality of life, which allows us to consider this phenomenon within the framework of the concept of housing deprivation, covering both problems of living and social and psychological consequences for individuals.

The methods of collecting information included mapping, content analysis of media publications, observation of areas of dilapidated houses, including photography, and interviews with residents. As a result, the dilapidated housing situation in Novosibirsk was described: maps were created to reflect the scale of the dilapidated housing situation and its differentiation by city districts and years of construction of dilapidated houses, the topicality of the problems of dilapidated houses by the frequency of mentions in the media. The main groups of actors interacting on the problems of dilapidated houses were identified: residents of dilapidated houses, businesses and government, the public (media and city residents). The problems of living in dilapidated houses in the context of housing deprivation are systematized as follows: issues related to the physical condition of the house, resettlement and social problems. Groups of practices of interaction of residents of dilapidated houses are described (practices of landscaping and practices of joint work). It is concluded that these practices often perform a compensatory function in relation to the situation of housing deprivation, are a “response” to it and are aimed mainly at leveling its negative consequences.



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ISSN 2542-0429 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5375 (Online)