Forming-Up Hierarchical Set of Models: Developing Strategy for Industry Specific Sector
https://doi.org/10.25205/2542-0429-2018-18-4-126-139
Abstract
The article focuses on the set of models to forecast industrial sector development in a global perspective based both on the modified model for national economic development (Optimization Inter-Sector Interregional Model - OIIM) and on traditional production-transport type models in the natural indicators. Top-down transit from one type of model to another one is carried out gradually and contains a number of “inter-stage” models. Each stage is characterized by a bigger specification of sector indicators, i.e. initially by cost indicators and further by natural indicators. Besides, the study attempts a transit from the national economic model with the maximum final consumption to the structure of a sector model with the minimum expenditures, given a fixed level of demand obtained while solving the upper-level model. This transit is based on the ideas of forming-up “mutual” tasks, which enables external national economic links while forming-up the strategy of developing certain regions. The paper examines and gives commentaries to the Development Strategy for Timber Industry up to 2030 approved by Ministry of Industry and Trade (Minpromtorg) of the RF.
About the Authors
Y. Sh. Blam
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS; Novosibirsk State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
L. V. Mashkina
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS; Novosibirsk State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
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Review
For citations:
Blam Y.Sh., Mashkina L.V. Forming-Up Hierarchical Set of Models: Developing Strategy for Industry Specific Sector. World of Economics and Management. 2018;18(4):126-139. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25205/2542-0429-2018-18-4-126-139
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