Preview

World of Economics and Management

Advanced search

MONETARY POLICY OF CENTRAL BANKS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM

https://doi.org/10.25205/2542-0429-2018-18-3-5-17

Abstract

The article compares the current situation in the central banks of the BRICS countries and changes in their main characteristics as well as the results of their monetary policy after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Significance of main modern monetary policy instruments is evaluated by means of a modified model based on the Taylor rule. The influence of developed countries’ central banks on the monetary policy of the BRICS countries and the BRICS countries’ central banks on each other is studied using a vector error correction model. According to our analysis, not all the countries in the selection influence each other. The monetary policy of the BRICS countries’ central banks correlates to that of developed countries’ central banks, but there is a lag in making decisions and the instruments used are different. The US Federal Reserve system has a more significant effect on Russia, India and South Africa, while the monetary instruments in China are very much under the influence of the Bank of Japan. All the processes considered result from globalization in the field of macroeconomic financial policy, which affects the national monetary policies in different ways.

About the Authors

S. V. Bekareva
Novosibirsk National Research State University
Russian Federation


N. A. Kravchenko
Novosibirsk National Research State University; Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS
Russian Federation


E. N. Meltenisova
Novosibirsk National Research State University; Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS
Russian Federation


References

1. Усоскин В. М. «Нестандартная» монетарная политика: методы и результаты // Деньги и кредит. 2016. 11. С. 12-18.

2. Ishi K., Stone M., Yehoue E. B. Unconventional Central Bank Measures for Emerging Economies // IMF Working Paper. 2009. October. Р. 1-42.

3. Mohan R., Kapur M. Monetary Policy Coordination and the Role of Central Banks // IMF Working Paper. 2014. April. Р. 1-33.

4. Chung-Hua Shen, Kun-Li Lin, Na Guo. Hawk or dove: Switching regression model for the monetary policy reaction function in China // Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 2016. No. 36. Р. 94- 111.

5. Li-gang Liu, Wenlang Zhang. A New Keynesian model for analyzing monetary policy in Mainland China // Journal of Asian Economics. 2010. No. 21. Р. 540-551.

6. Mishra P., Montiel P., Sengupta R. Monetary Transmission in Developing Countries: Evidence from India // IMF Working Paper. 2016. August. Р. 1-67.

7. Carriere-Swallow Y., Jacome L., Magud N., Werner A. Central Banking in Latin America: The Way Forward // IMF Working Paper. 2016. September. Р. 1-42.

8. Klein N. Estimating the Implicit Inflation Target of the South African Reserve Bank // IMF Working Paper. 2012. July. Р. 1-15.

9. Taylor J. B. The monetary transmission mechanism and the evaluation of monetary policy rules // Central Bank of Chile Publications. 2000. No. 87.

10. Kleynhans E. P. J., Meintjes R. Political independence of the South African Reserve Bank: Managing interest rates // Acta Commercii. 2013. No. 13 (1). Art. #203. 10 p. Available at: http:// dx.doi.org/10.4102/ac.v13i1.203 (accessed 25 Feb. 2017).

11. Ebeke Ch., Azangue A. F. Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets // IMF Working Paper. 2015. October. Р. 1-35.

12. Peters A. S. Monetary policy, exchange rate targeting and fear of floating in emerging market economies // Int. Econ. Policy. 2014. Available at: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/ s10368-014-0300-0 (accessed 15 Feb. 2017).

13. Кабир Л. С., Яковлев И. А., Савинский С. П., Никулина С. И., Раков И. Д. Преимущества и угрозы плавающего валютного курса // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2015. № 41. С. 2-12.

14. Хмелевская Н. Г. Пул условных валютных резервов БРИКС в аспекте достаточности международных (золотовалютных) резервов // Деньги и кредит. 2016. № 2. С. 42-49.

15. Bekareva S. V., Meltenisova E. N. Modern features of a monetary policy of the BRICS countries: An empirical analysis and modeling results of a modified Taylor rule // Вестн. Перм. гос. ун-та. Сер. «Экономика». 2017. Т. 12, № 4. С. 527-541. Doi 10.17072/1994-9960-2017-4527-541.

16. Johansen S. Statistical analysis for cointegration vectors // Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 1988. No. 12. Р. 231-254.

17. Hodrick R., Prescott E. C. Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation // Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 1997. No. 29 (1). Р. 1-16.

18. Osterwald-Lenum M. A note with quantiles of the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood cointegration rank test statistics // Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 1992. No. 54. Р. 461-472.

19. Ball L. Policy rules for open economies // Monetary policy rules / Ed. by J. B. Taylor. University of Chicago Press, 1999. P. 49-79.

20. Johansen S. Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995.

21. Моисеев С. Р. Денежно-кредитная политика: теория и практика. М.: Московская финансово-промышленная академия, 2011. 784 с.

22. Ghosh A. R., Ostry J. D., Chamon M. Two targets, two instruments: Monetary and exchange rate policies in emerging market economies // Journal of International Money and Finance. 2016. No. 60. Р. 172-196.

23. Baltagi B. H. Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. John Wiley and Sons, 2008.


Review

For citations:


Bekareva S.V., Kravchenko N.A., Meltenisova E.N. MONETARY POLICY OF CENTRAL BANKS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM. World of Economics and Management. 2018;18(3):5-17. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25205/2542-0429-2018-18-3-5-17

Views: 214


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2542-0429 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5375 (Online)