Integration of input – output approach into agent-based modeling. Part 1. Methodological principles
Abstract
The article presents a comparison of the Agent-Based Multiregional Input–Output Model (ABMIOM) of the Russian economy and a small-size version of the Optimization Multiregional Input-Output Model (OMIOM) from the per-spective of their possible integration for spatial economic research. These models share many similar features, technically and conceptually. The two models regard the economy as a complex system of interdependent compo-nents; both have the same spatial and sectoral structure, similar production technologies. Both allow to perform a structural analysis of processes taking place in the economy in terms of industries and territories. The former is a simulation model, the latter is a linear optimization model; their major differ-ences relate to the methods of modeling the market and price mechanisms and of representing the space. We propose to use a spatial input-output model based on the real data as the source of disaggregated information at the stage of initialization of agent-based models, which opens opportunities of gradual turning them into an experimentation area for the real economy, rather than an instrument for an analysis of an artificial economy.
About the Authors
D. A. Domozhirov
Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН, Новосибирск
Новосибирский национальный исследовательский государственный университет, Новосибирск
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
N. M. Ibragimov
Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН, Новосибирск
Новосибирский национальный исследовательский государственный университет, Новосибирск
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
L. V. Melnikova
Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН, Новосибирск
Новосибирский национальный исследовательский государственный университет, Новосибирск
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
A. A. Tsyplakov
Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН, Новосибирск
Новосибирский национальный исследовательский государственный университет, Новосибирск
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Tesfatsion L. Agent-Based Computational Economics: A Constructive Approach to Economic Theory. In: Tesfatsion L. and Judd K. L. (Eds.) Handbook of computational economics, Vol. II. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2006, p. 831–880.
2. Makarov V. L., Bakhtizin A. R. Sotsial'noe modelirovanie – novyy komp'yuternyy proryv (agent-orientirovannye modeli) [Social Modelling – A New Computer Breakthrough (Agent-Based Models).]. Moscow: Ekonomika, 2013, 295 pp. (In Russ.)
3. Lengnick M. Agent-Based Macroeconomics: A Baseline Model. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2013, vol. 86, p. 102–120.
4. De Andrade P. R., Monteiro A. M. V., Camara G. From Input-Output Matrixes to Agent-Based Models: A Case Study on Carbon Credits in a Local Economy. In: Proceedings of the 2010 Second Brazilian Workshop on Social Simulation (BWSS '10). IEEE Computer Society, Washington, DC, USA, 2010, p. 58–65.
5. Boero R. Short and Medium Term Evolution of a Regional Economy after the Crisis: Forecasting the Near Future of Piedmont with an Agent-Based Input Output Model. In: G. Russo and P. Terna (eds.). Innovare in Piemonte. Torino: Edizioni Otto, 2012.
6. Mandel A., Fürst S., Lass W., Meissner F, Jaeger C. Lagom Generic: An Agent-Based Model of Growing Economies. ECF Working Paper 1/2009. 2009, 21 p. URL: http://divamodel. net/fileadmin/ecf-documents/publications/ecf-working-papers/mandel-fuerst-lass-meissnerjaeger__ecf-working-paper_2009-01.pdf.
7. Beckenbach F., Briegel R., Daskalakis M. The Influence of Regional Innovation Systems on Regional Economic Growth: Linking Regional Input-Output Analysis and Agent-Based Modeling. Papers on agent-based economics, 2007, no. 1, University of Kassel, 33 p. URL: https://www. beckenbach.uni-kassel.de/files/pdfs/papers/poabe_nr1.pdf.
8. Hu Z., Zhang J., Zhang N. China's Economic Gene Mutations: By Electricity Economics and Multi-Agent. Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 2015, 491 pp.
9. Suslov V. I., Domozhirov D. A., Ibragimov N. M., Kostin V. S., Melnikova L. V., Tsyplakov A. A. Opyt agent-orientirovannogo modeli-rovaniya prostranstvennykh protsessov v bol'shoy ekonomike [Agent-Based Modeling Spatial Processes in the Large Economy]. Region: ekonomika i sotsiologiya [Region: Economics and Sociology], 2014, no. 4, p. 32–54. (In Russ.)
10. Suslov V. I., Domozhirov D. A., Ibragimov N. M., Kostin V. S., Melnikova L. V., Tsyplakov A. A. Agent-orientirovannaya mnogoregio-nal'naya model' «zatraty – vypusk» rossiyskoy ekonomiki [Agent-Based Multiregional Input-Output Model of the Russian Economy]. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody [Economics and Mathematical Methods], 2016, vol. 52, no. 1, p. 112–131. (In Russ.)
11. Suslov V. I., Novikova T. S., Tsyplakov A. A. Modelirovanie roli gosudarstva v prostranstvennoy agent-orientirovannoy modeli [Simulation of the Role of Government in Spatial Agent-Based Model]. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of Region], 2016, vol. 12, issue 3, p. 951–965. (In Russ.)
12. Gintis H. The Dynamics of General Equilibrium. Economic Journal, 2007, vol. 117, issue 523, p. 1280–1309.
13. Grassini M. Problemy primeneniya vychislimykh modeley obshchego ravnovesiya dlya prognozirovaniya ekonomicheskoy dinamiki [Problems of Applying Computable General Equilibrium Models to Prediction of Economic Dynamics]. Problemy prognozirovaniya [Studies on Russian Economic Development], 2009, issue 2, p. 30–48. (In Russ.)
14. Leontief W. Input-Output Economics. 2nd ed. New York: Oxford University Press, 1986, 436 pp.
15. Melnikova L.V. Primenenie printsipa “zatraty – vypusk” na mikrourovne [Applying the Input-Output Principle at the Micro Level] // Eko, 2011, no. 8, p. 44–52. (In Russ.)
16. Isard W. Interregional and Regional Input-Output Analysis: A Model of a Space-Economy. The Review of Economic Statistics, 1951, vol. 33, no. 4, p. 318–328.
17. Isard W. Methods of Regional Analysis: An Introduction to Regional Science. Cambridge: Technology Press of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, New York: Wiley, 1960 [Russian edition: 1966].
18. Moses L. N. The Stability of Interregional Trading Patterns and Input-Output Analysis. American Economic Review, 1955, vol. 45, no. 5, p. 803–832.
19. Chenery H. B. Regional analysis. In: H. B. Chenery, P. G. Clark, and V. Cao Pinna (eds.), The Structure and Growth of the Italian Economy. Rome: U.S. Mutual Security Agency, 1953, p. 97–129.
20. Hewings G. J. D., Jensen R. C. Chapter 8. Regional, Interregional and Multiregional Input-Output Analysis. In: P. Nijkamp (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. I. Elsevier, 1986, p. 295–355.
21. Granberg A. G. Mezhotraslevye modeli optimal'nogo razmeshcheniya proizvoditel'nykh sil SSSR [Intersectional Models of Optimal Location of USSR Economic Activity]. In: Modeli i metody optimal'nogo razvitiya i razmeshcheniya proizvodstva [Models and Methods of Optimal Development and Location of Production]. Novosibirsk: Novosibisk State University, 1965. (In Russ.)
22. Granberg A. G. Optimizatsiya territorial'nykh proportsiy narodno-go khozyaystva [Optimization of Territorial Proportions of the National Economy]. Moscow: Ekonomika, 1973, 248 pp. (In Russ.)
23. Granberg A. G. Modelirovanie prostranstvennogo razvitiya natsio-nal'noy i mirovoy ekonomiki: evolyutsiya podkhodov [Modeling of Spatial Development of National and World Economy: The Evolution of Approaches], Region: Ekonomika i sotsiologiya [Region: Economics and Sociology], 2007, no. 1, pp. 87–106. (In Russ.)
24. Gembicki F., Haimes Y.Y. Approach to Performance and Sensitivity Multiobjective Optimization: The Goal Attainment Method. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 1975, vol. 20, no. 6, pp. 769–771.
25. Ershov Y. S., Ibragimov N. M., Melnikova L. V. Sovremennye postanovki prikladnykh mezhregional'nykh mezhotraslevykh modeley [Modern Specifications of Applied Input-Output Models]. In: V. I. Suslova (ed.), Issledovaniya mnogoregional'nykh ekonomicheskikh sistem: Opyt primeneniya optimizatsionnykh mezhregional'nykh mezhotraslevykh system [Studies in Multiregional Economic Systems: Experimental Application of Optimization Input-Output Systems]. Institute of Economics SBRAS, Novosibirsk, 2007, pp. 29–59. (In Russ.)
26. Ershov Y. S., Melnikova L. V., Suslov V. I. Praktika primeneniya optimizatsionnykh mul'tiregional'nykh mezhotraslevykh modeley v strategicheskikh prognozakh rossiyskoy ekonomiki [Practice of Applying Optimization Input-Output Models for Strategic Forecasting of Russian Economy]. Vestnik Novosibirskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta [Herald of Novosibirsk State University]. Socio-Economic Series, 2009, vol. 9. issue 4, pp. 9–23. (In Russ.)
27. Gamidov T. G., Domozhirov D. A., Ibragimov N. M. Ravnovesnye sostoyaniya otkrytoy mezhregional'noy sistemy, porozhdennoy optimizatsi-onnoy mezhregional'noy mezhotraslevoy model'yu [Equilibrium States of an Open Interregional System Generated by a Optimization Input-Output Model]. Vestnik Novosibirskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta [Herald of Novosibirsk State University]. Socio-Economic Series, 2013. vol. 13, no. 3, p. 81–94. (In Russ.)
Review
For citations:
Domozhirov D.A., Ibragimov N.M., Melnikova L.V., Tsyplakov A.A. Integration of input – output approach into agent-based modeling. Part 1. Methodological principles. World of Economics and Management. 2017;17(1):86–99. (In Russ.)
Views:
79
Email this article 
