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Analysis and forecast of ecological load in Russia

Abstract

The article presents an analysis of modern issues of environmental pollution in the Russian Federation: growth of the pollutants concentration in the atmosphere, decrease in the quality of water, growth in the annual production and consumption waste generation etc. The authors present the load forecast for water and atmospheric resources as well as projected trend of waste production for a period of 2016–2020, obtained using dynamic interindustry model with ecological block. Based on the forecast it is concluded that the growth of the environmental load will remain, and in order to prevent it the development of state ecological policies is required.

About the Authors

G. M. Mkrtchyan
Novosibirsk National Research State University, Russian Federation Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, SB RAS, Novosibirsk
Russian Federation


T. O. Tagaeva
Novosibirsk National Research State University, Russian Federation Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, SB RAS, Novosibirsk
Russian Federation


Yu. O. Tsvelodub
Novosibirsk National Research State University, Russian Federation Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, SB RAS, Novosibirsk
Russian Federation


References

1. Baranov A. O., Pavlov V. N., Tagaeva T. O. Analysis and Forecast of the State of Environmental Protection in Russia. Environmental and Resource Economics, 1997, № 9, p. 21–42.

2. Tagaeva T. O., Gilmundinov V. M., Kazantseva L. K. Ecological Situation and Environmental Protection Policy in Russian Regions. Economy of Region, 2016, vol. 12, № 1, p. 78–91, doi 10.17059/2016-1-6. (in Russ.)

3. Tagaeva T. O. Improving Environmental Charges Using Results of the Forecast of the Environmental and Economic Development of the Russian Federation. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2011, Vol. 22, № 3, P. 331–338, doi: 10.1134/S1075700711030130.


Review

For citations:


Mkrtchyan G.M., Tagaeva T.O., Tsvelodub Yu.O. Analysis and forecast of ecological load in Russia. World of Economics and Management. 2017;17(1):57–69. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 2542-0429 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5375 (Online)